What the weather will do, for southern Sweden
An independent project that turns open forecast and observation data into clear weather information for Skåne, focused on what it means on the ground. Free to use.
Cloud study painted in Sweden, 1891. Østlig himmelegn. Tryk: 1025,1 hPa. Temperatur: 9 °C. Source: DMI (Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut).
The coming week, month and season compared with normal, in plain words, with every source named.
Read itThe outlook gives a plain Good, Mixed or Poor call for the next few hours, then where it has rained and what the next ten days bring.
Open the outlookHighs, lows and fronts across Europe, with a close view of southern Scandinavia.
See the chart
Every Skåneleden stage, not the nearest town: temperature, chance of rain, and how sure the forecast is, checked against the closest weather station.
Check a stageEvery SMHI station in Skåne this hour, as cards or a map, plus road weather stations.
Open current conditions → AlertsWhat SMHI has active for Skåne, what it means and when it ends.
See active warnings → Weather mapThe classic weather map, to see what is coming before it arrives.
See the chart →The coming week, month and season compared with normal, in plain words.
Read the latest → ExplainerWhich Skåne towns are easier to forecast, and which are closer to a coin toss.
See the ranking → Next few decadesHow heat, drought, heavy rain, wind and the coast may change by the 2040s.
See the outlook →Skåne Weather takes open data from SMHI, the point forecast, the mesoscale analysis, and the station network, and turns it into pages that answer practical questions. Has it rained here recently, and how much? Is today a good day to be outside? What is the coming week likely to bring?
A conventional forecast tells you that 5 mm of rain is likely. These tools try to tell you what that means on the ground: whether the roads were wet this morning, whether the afternoon is worth planning around, where in the region the rain actually fell.
Everything is fetched live from SMHI's open API when you load the page. Nothing is stored, nothing is tracked, and the source and timestamp of every number are shown on the page. The tools are free to use.
These pages are built for Skåne, but the method is general. Take the hazard forecast, combine it with what actually matters to you, your assets, routes, sites, and thresholds, and produce a statement about impact instead of millimetres and metres per second. If that would be useful for an organisation you work with, get in touch.
Forecasts of what a weather event will do at a given location or asset: disruption to transport and logistics, loss of access, shifts in demand, and safety risk, each with a lead time and a confidence level.
Hazard forecasts combined with your exposure and vulnerability data to build impact functions and thresholds tailored to your network, so future events can be assessed automatically.
Warning tiers, triggers, and playbooks based on impact rather than raw thresholds, plus clear plots and dashboards that show which assets are affected, how badly, and when to act.
Workflows built with open source tools and open data. Methods and code are documented so your team can rerun, adapt, and extend the work without depending on one vendor.
Start from the decision that needs to be made and work back to the forecast, not the other way around.
Data source and timestamp are shown on the page. Assumptions and limits are explained in plain language, not buried.
Open data and open source tools throughout. No tracking, no accounts, nothing stored about you.
Realistic statements about what a forecast can and cannot tell you, with uncertainty explained in plain terms.
For a correction or a question about one of the Skåne pages, or if weather affects decisions you make, for a business, a public body, a community group, or a research project, send a short description of what you need and any timing constraints.
This page is deliberately brief. More detail, methods, and references on request.
Skåne Weather is a spare time project, built and paid for privately by one person with a background in atmospheric science and weather data, now working mostly on weather risk in other sectors. It is not affiliated with SMHI, DMI, or any employer. The point of keeping a name off the pages is that they should be judged on whether the numbers are right and the explanations are clear. Questions, corrections, and collaboration are all welcome at the address above.